Category: Sports

  • Outdoor Recreation for Liberty Valuing Individuals – Part 2

    PART THE SECOND

    Sailing (Or- Being wet, cold, sore and sick doesn’t seem like a Jimmy Buffett song.)

     

    Sailing in “Hawaiian snow”

     

    In the first part of this tome I advocated for giving a thought towards rock climbing as a possible sport for those seeking an individual freedom recreational activity.  But some of you may live too far from climbable areas and others may go, “Wait, what did you say about bodies and granite blocks?”  For you, I propose another sport with much to offer from an individual freedom aspect- sailing.

    The popular thoughts about sailing bring up images of Judge Smails from “Caddyshack,” Ron Rico from “Captain Ron,” or billionaire sailors burning $1000 bills for lighting cigars while watching the America’s Cup.   The truth about sailing is vastly different.  Young people, old people, rich and poor people can all access the water, enjoy themselves and experience individual freedom while sailing.

    The quotable CPT Ron…

     

    and an appropriate boat name for this spot.

     

    What is sailing and why is it better than just messing around in a boat? (Or- Isn’t a sailboat on the water just like a Prius or a bicycle on the Interstate?)

    Sailing encompasses huge areas of activity and the sailors who enjoy their sport widely consider other sailors to be misguided, crazy or boring.  If you are interested in sailing you are quickly confronted with questions like: monohulls, multi-hulls, one design racing, day sailing, cruising, racing inshore or offshore, just getting out on the water, and a mix of some or all of the above.

    You can participate in any or all forms of sailing once you learn the basics on how to more or less safely balance the interactions of two fluids while manipulating a vertically mounted airfoil.  Once you have made headway on that you can then follow activities according to your interests, sailing areas, available cash and potential partners.

    I initially learned to sail while in grade school on a golf course pond in southern AZ.  I didn’t think much about sailing again until I was living in the German Alps with a young family and lots of lakes nearby.  I needed a weekend outdoors activity I could do with my youngun’s while their mother was at work.  Bingo!  We could go sailing.   The challenges and joys were real and it was an activity that they liked as well.

    But back to the question at hand.  Why an ancient method of propulsion like a sail when you can speed around with huge engines and modern speed? Short answer: freedom and relative costs.

    The pointy end is in the front and the stick goes up.  (Or- As Captain Ron said, “Well swab, once you do that job well, you can get a better job, then another and you may become a mate.”)

    Most people learn to sail either by starting on a small and simple boat or by crewing on a bit larger boat and picking up skills.  I think a combination of the two is probably the optimum way, if the option is available.  In a small boat you can learn how to manipulate your sails to achieve a desired result while keeping the costs of error very low and easy to recover from.  My first boat was an open hull with a basic lanteen rig (one triangular sail mounted partway back from a corner).

    Dbl Eagle’s first yacht

     

    I could sail in small bodies of water near home at speeds that didn’t freak out young kids and if the boat went on its side it was easy to recover from.  That was good since one absolute fact is that if you sail a small boat you will go into the water sometimes.  All these things were great since I had to judge weather, water and could work my way to my goals.

    Many local groups use smaller boats to keep expenses low, and open up sailing instruction to kids as young as seven or eight.  If you get a youngster deciding on a course and learning how to get there and back you breed an independent spirit within them.  As their confidence and skills grow so is their ability to direct their exploration.

    But don’t sell small boats out.  Pretty well all great modern sailors learned on small boats and the Olympics feature only 1-2 person boats.  Your basic Laser class sailboat is found everywhere from local resorts and community sailing classes to the Olympics.  A well-tuned and well sailed Laser goes like a bat out of hell and is great challenge.

    Laser with beginners in light air.

     

    Laser with US Olympian Anna Tunnclife in more air.

     

    Sailing with a more experienced crew is another great way to learn.  I didn’t have this opportunity when I was first learning how to sail since there wasn’t a well-developed sailing community where I lived.  That meant I had to learn AND FAST how to make decisions to protect my crew (aka family) but it also left holes in my knowledge.

    After I moved to Hawaii I first joined sailing with others on their boats and I have learned an amazing amount from some incredibly experienced sailors.  I had to take the initiative to introduce myself to a skipper and convince them to take a chance on me.  Luckily, that wasn’t too hard, but to get an invitation to return for another sail I had to show that I was open to instruction and was a good team member.  As I did that I gained more responsibility and then that opened more responsibility.

    There is no government process that says who must let you sail, what responsibilities you get and when you must be promoted.  It is up to you and your crew.  If you aren’t happy you can freely depart and find a new crew that may better agree with you.

     

    Fast is relative. (Or- Jeebus! We are going 18 knots and it feels like we are flying.)

    Sailboats range the gamut from older boats with traditional sail plans to the new planning boats that actually are above the water and any sailboat can move faster than the apparent wind propelling them.   On a smaller boat that I race we are ecstatic if we can hit and hold 6 knots, on other boats we are feeling down if we dip below 15 knots for any length of time.

    Yeah, a power boat can speed right up with enough engine and a proper sea state, but to get to near a sailboat’s theoretical speed is exciting in and of itself.  Another plus is the wind is free. When I was sailing in Southern California in the 1990s there was a midsized powerboat a few places over.  One time talking with the owner he mentioned how he was happy with the dip in gas prices because he could go to and from the Cali coast to a nearish Channel Island for only $100 in fuel.  I was gobsmacked and asked if he was going at hull speed and he said no, that was a cruising speed.  With my sailboat it cost me a few cents of gas to get out and under sail and a few cents more when having the engine on while anchoring and getting into the slip at the end.  My trip to and from the islands was less than a Quarter.  He got to the island quicker, but it cost me less money for the initial investment, in maintenance costs, in fuel costs and as a bonus no damage to my hearing from engine noise.

     

    Entropy is supreme at sea. (Or- Why fix it right when we can fix it right now?)

    Boats break, things on boats break, things that hear the word “boat” break and they all need to be fixed.  Sailors get to be handy at making repairs because things don’t like to break when it’s convenient or when a professional is nearby.  Some very rich sailors with the mega yachts have entire crews to make repairs at sea while the owner catches up on binging a Netflix show using the alternate power systems.  The rest of us learn how to make repairs, figure out a jury rig, think up alternates and determine stockage rates of tools, repair parts, fuel and lubricants.

    It doesn’t matter what you sail, be it a small boat like a Laser, a mid-range boat, or a larger boat- ongoing maintenance is key and even then it will not be sufficient.  Every sailor I know with at least a modicum of experience can do some small engine maintenance, rig tuning to keep the mast upright, sail repair, and hundreds of other small tasks.  You need these skills since at some point you’ll be called on to fix something or develop a work around while far away from shore.  Or at worst, you must be able to abandon a boat with all your crew and sufficient supplies to survive while you send out an SOS.

    I know a couple of sailors who could make MacGuyver throw up his hands and exclaim, “How did you do that?”  I’ll discuss it more later, but a good mechanic, computer or radio tech can make more than enough to be able to finance an unlimited time cruising.   The above principle applies to medicine as well.  Sailors know they are the first responder for their vessel and those who travel beyond the horizon often have more medical knowledge than that.  People who are able to keep systems running through their own, or small group, knowledge tend to see beyond the trope that government must take care of us.

     

    Your horizons while sailing are virtually unlimited. (Or from Captain Ron again- If something is going to happen, it’s going to happen out there.)

    Many sailors decide that they want to venture farther than what can be conveniently sailed when you must get back to your starting point before the day ends.  This doesn’t mean you need a 100 foot long mega yacht.  I started “cruising” with my kids in my first boat with some camping gear and we sailed to a small island in big lake and camped the night.

    Many cruising areas feature passages which never involve leaving the sight of land.  Some of these areas can be explored for your entire life and you’ll never run out of new places to see.  But the common feature of almost all cruising areas is that the vessel crew decides on timing, routes, speeds, what to see and what to skip, where to spend the night(s) and what is your luxury and how you want to accommodate it.

    Poorly named Desolation Sound, BC.

    Passage making is not the government’s responsibility.  Depending on where you go the variables can be easy to very challenging and it is all on the skipper, perhaps with the assistance of the crew.  You are responsible for studying the weather, tides, currents, depths, available daylight, strength of crew, logistics of the boat and any other variables and then you make the call.  The government is not there, it is up to your judgment alone.

    It is wise to let others know of your plans- but there is no governmental requirement.  It is judicious to not be too adventurous for your experience- but it is your call.  If you speak with the skipper and go, “No, I don’t think is wise (or fun)” it is up to you to make the call to not go.  But the water and atmosphere can always throw in an unexpected variable and it is up to crew to deal with it.  People who seek out this responsibility tend to be distrustful of the judgment of government “experts.”

    The first rule is to stay on the boat.

     

    When I am cruising I like spending the night “on the hook” and am not big on tying up to a dock and dealing with paying and all the hassles of dock life like lights streaming  into cabins and/or lines hitting masts all night.  When we sailed in Puget Sound and the San Juan Islands we rarely spent the night in a marina since there was always a new place to anchor for the night.  Once on the hook I would throw the crab pot out, we might go to shore to go clamming or collect mussels and start enjoying evening cocktails.

    Here in Hawaii it is a rare interisland passage where we don’t catch a fresh mahi mahi or tuna to grill in the evening, again while enjoying a cocktail after a dive to check out the local sea life.  Because of the realities of anchoring and having sufficient space for “swinging around the anchor” it is a rare night to have many boats close to each other.  If you want to have others over or dinghy over to another boat that is great.  If you want to ignore the others, that is great too.  I especially like those nights which the anchorage is mine alone.

    Anchorages sometimes have limits emplaced to protect features or because local knowledge knows some areas are dangerous if the weather turns.  But most anchorages are totally up to the skill and judgment of the skipper and crew.  It is your job to determine the spot (knowing that it your responsibility to stay away from earlier anchored boats), making sure the anchor is set, how long of line should between the anchor and boat (7 to 1 is pretty standard), that the boat will remain safe if a storm blows in/the tide drops or rises etc.

    Then when it is time to leave it is up to you to recover the anchor and make your way safely out of the anchorage to open water.  I have been “trapped” in a small anchorage for almost two days because an unexpected swell closed the entrance to safe passage.  But since provisioning the boat is up to the skipper and crew with no government minimums, we had plenty of food, water and beer, but we did run out of black strap rum.

    Sunset in a “crowded” Maui anchorage.

     

    Taking the big jump. (Or- When you see the Southern Cross for the first time You know now why you came this way.)

    It doesn’t happen to every sailor, and for others it may only happen once, but many sailors look at a sailboat and go why shouldn’t I just sail to Tahiti? (Or to Hawaii, across the Atlantic, to Iceland, around Cape Horn, to Bermuda, or, or, or, or) Plenty of sailors have crossed oceans on sailboats less than 30 feet and most sailboats crossing oceans are under ~40 feet.

    You know how to keep the boat moving forward, you know (and have hopefully practiced) emergency procedures, the boat is well “found” (maintained and equipped), between you and your crew you have knowledge of repairs, plenty of food, drink and appropriate clothing.  So why not, why the HELL NOT, shouldn’t you just let loose the lines and sail over the ever receding horizon?

    Many sailors do decide to sail away- some for an occasional passage and others for days, years and even decades at a time.  They take advantage of the freedom of the ocean to become worldwide travelers and view the entire globe as a potential port of call.  Thanks to modern communications and transportation these free spirits can stay in contact with loved ones, and for a lucky few their employers.

    I have met people who work editing technical publications, freelance authors, and developing/testing code to keep a regular paycheck coming in.  Others are great with their tools and hands and refill their coffers by performing repairs beyond other sailors’ skills.  Almost without exception none of the people are rich in money and they fully acknowledge the sacrifices in other aspects that they are making to live the life they want.

    Some are poor, very poor, in a material sense.  Everything they own is in their 32 foot long kingdom.  A kingdom that is decades old but lovingly maintained.  But I have never met a cruiser that didn’t have lifetimes of experience and a spirit that valued nothing above freedom.

    Approaching Oahu while returning from Maui. These crew members are working to keep the boat properly healed over.

     

    The first time I went on an extended passage I was with some experienced people and one other first timer.  A few hours after leaving shore we were far enough out to sea that all you could see was the constantly moving blue water spreading to every horizon; that night’s moonless sky was so full of stars it was hard to make out the constellations and the Andromeda Galaxy (M31) was a clearly distinct smudge in the sky. The sound of the water rushing past a few inches from my head as I tried to sleep and the never ending motion was freedom to me.  To the other first timer……….not so much.  He’s a hard charging inshore and off shore racer who can still be counted on to be there and bust his ass to try and help us win, but he discovered that a day on the boat is enough for him.  He pulled his weight and nobody gave him anything but good natured ribbing for deciding that he would buy a flight home and not return with us.  Like I said at the start of this tome- every sailor has their own way and every way right for them.

     

    Crew rest is important while cruising.

     

    Racing. (Or- Don’t kid yourself. If two boats are sailing the same direction there is a race going in in at least one skipper’s mind.)

    At one end of the spectrum of sailboat racing are the round-the-globe races.  These are expensive, grueling tests for a solo sailor or crew and the boat.  At the other end of racing spectrum are two skippers betting on who buys the first round while heading to a location.  (There is much truth to the dictum: sailboats are propelled by the wind but are powered by alcohol.) Wherever your race falls on the spectrum it will probably make you a better sailor.

    There is no self-delusion on how well you are getting speed.  Those other boats are keeping you honest about how good your choice of direction is, how well your sails are set, how balanced your rudder is and a hundred other details.

    I started racing on a regular basis when I moved to Hawaii and have received a constant tutorial on boat speed, sail shape, balancing a vessel, and anticipating wind shifts.  One to two nights a week year round and several weekend days each month I am out there learning.  Plus when we do well, the prize pitchers of Cuba Libres or Margaritas taste extra good.  Since people who make decisions well outside the norms of the fleet can end up winning, most sailors don’t believe in blindly accepting the approved wisdom delivered from on high- they’ll make their own decisions thank you very much.

    Start of a race. Balancing boldness and caution is supreme.

     

    Downsides to sailing and cruising. (Or-Guerrilla. Gorilla.  Huuuge difference.)

    Well to be frank- you will get seasick at some point.  Everybody does, so the only thing to remember is concentrate on the horizon if you can and go ahead and puke over the leeward (downwind) side of the boat because you’ll feel better after you chum the water.  You will be late at some point for some event important to your spouse/employer because the winds will be either too low or too high.  Sailing is much more work than most people think so you’ll get sore muscles, bruises and “boat bites”; but these are a sign of a life well led.  There is much truth to the saying that the two happiest days of boat ownership are the day you buy it and the day you sell it.

    The final downside I’ll address is the US Coast Guard.  “Coasties” do sometimes perform amazing acts of seamanship or flying to rescue professional seamen or recreational sailors. For that I doff my hat at their skill and bravery.  However, the USCG does not like recreational sailors or boaters because: A) We are too independent on the water and have beat back their every attempt to try and force people to use tracking beacons on their vessels; B) We do not like inspections at sea and regard “safety inspections” (aka snooping for drugs or contraband) of our vessels with at best ill hid contempt. Yep the government is the biggest downside to sailing- imagine that.

     

    Lasers during World Championships demonstrate the downside of failing to properly balance the interactions of two bodies of fluids.

     

    When is enough enough? (Or-Swallowing the anchor)

    Sailing can be a lifelong experience.  Multiple times a year I see the local yacht clubs running classes for 7-8 year old boys and girls.  I love watching them getting that first taste of responsibility and freedom.  There are young teens I race against who know how to get speed almost like magic in any wind condition or sea state and understand the Racing Rules like a Supreme Court justice knows the law.  I have met older men who were still racing, and beating our collective asses, at 92 years of age.

    I shared an interisland passage with a couple in their 70s who had full professional lives, grown kids and multiple grandkids.  After they retired they decided to cruise for 3 years.  They are still cruising and said that their original decision was almost old enough to vote, but one year their 3 year cruise would end.

    I hope to have time to cross oceans, see Cape Horn to port under a full moon, gunkhole in deserted bays in Desolation Sound while listening to the sounds of Orcas speaking through my hull as I enjoy a glass of wine and fresh caught Dungeness Crab.  And most of all to continue to enjoy the freedom that sailing offers far from suffocation of government.   My advice is to give sailing a try since it can be experienced all over the Glibertariat.  If a young person is looking for a chance to learn skills, experience the freedom of literally “shaping their own course” and to compete against others- let them learn to sail.  The worst that will happen is that before you know it you’ll read the entire Aubrey/Maturin series of books.

    Out for a sail-or- a bad day on the water beats almost any good day on land.

     

    ** Except for the Laser photos, I am in or took most of the photos.

  • Outdoor Recreation for Liberty Valuing Individuals – Part 1

    The Glib community is full of people (and reptiles) with some amazing work and recreation skill sets.  I read the articles and comments in awe and trepidation of how many valuable skills sets are assembled in this small part of the “Certified Family Friendly” internet.  Someday, if the trends continue and Zombie Hillary becomes POTUS we will have to try to survive the HRC/antifa apocalypse then we will be doing nothing but trying to survive.

    But until that day arrives we all enjoy recreation in our downtimes. Sometimes that recreation is rumored not to include drinking, drugs or Mexican ass sex. This got me thinking about what outdoors recreation attracts liberty valuing individuals.  Many of us participate in or are at least familiar with hunting, fishing, home brewing and other activities that encourage these traits.  But I can propose two others for consideration by you, friends, or younger people- rock climbing and sailing.  Wait and hear me out.  All climbers aren’t hippies and all sailors don’t make Scrooge McDuck look like a welfare recipient.  In fact both sports favor those who don’t fit those stereotypes.

    PART THE FIRST

     

    Climbing (Or- How do they get the ropes up there?)

    Short answer: They bring it themselves.

    Bringing the rope up the steep side of the Yosemite’s Half Dome.

     

    Rock climbing is the usual gateway into the entire enterprise of mountaineering.  The basic skills that you develop on the rocks are adaptable to the other forms of climbing, but most climbers continue in rock climbing alone.  Most stay with shorter climbs since these offer plenty of challenges without adding the additional hard work and dangers associated with the deep dark corners of climbing like high altitude expeditionary, extreme ice/mixed, or even big walls.   Pat Ament, a famous rock climber from the ’70s, tried a winter mixed rock and ice climbing route one time and after that stated the only ice he ever wanted to encounter again would be in a cocktail glass. So this little essay will only use the “gateway drug” of rock climbing to expound on climbing and liberty.

    So why does climbing attract liberty lovers?  Trust and autonomous decision making are the simple reasons. People climbing together literally hold their partner’s life in their hands and are responsible for assembling systems to prevent each other from plunging to the ground.  They alone are responsible and they know it.

     

    Belaying is life. (Or- climbers, unlike skiers, do not return from the mountains with knee injuries- if a climber misjudges the situation they generally have the good grace to die.)

    I was 16 when I learned to rock climb and quickly discovered that if I fucked up, my friend and/or myself would be dead.  In my technical rock climbing classes I stopped the sandbag, and then caught controlled falls by fellow students (and they of me) all while being carefully watched by instructors.

    It was only a few months later, on a climb with a friend, that the seriousness of what we were doing really got imprinted in me.  We were climbing a pretty moderate route and I was belaying about half way up a 300 foot cliff.  My partner was slightly below me and moving sideways to get around a bulge so he could then come straight up to the belay ledge.  All of a sudden I saw his eyes get big and heard a strained squawk as he disappeared under an overhang below his feet.

    I locked up the belay, then felt the shock on myself and the belay anchors system as I caught him after he fell down and left and stopped with a snap and started swinging in a circle a few feet away from the cliff. Now I was holding my friend 150 feet off the ground as he tried to get back on the cliff after falling around 15 feet.  He recovered, got back on the rock and then climbed up to me.

    As we both let the adrenalin work through our system we took stock.  We could retreat, but hell no, we would get our heads back into the game and keep going up. As he prepared to start up the next stretch of the climb the seriousness hit me with a jolt.  If I hadn’t caught my friend he would have hit a ledge around 100 feet below and bounced off until the rope ran out about the time he would hit the ground. If I had screwed up the belay anchors it would have been worse. When the shock hit the system they would have ripped out and both of us would be finding out how much gravity sucks until we hit the ground and died.

    As it was, the rest of the climb went well and we stuck at the sport. Over the course of the next decades I fell many 100s of times and caught many 100s of falls.  Place into a person’s hands the responsibility of life and death and they tend to take other responsibilities more seriously.

    This is why you have the rope.

     

    Placing protection and arranging belays is life. (Or-Unravel the mystery or soon become history.)

    Some climbs take very little thinking to protect since you just clip your rope into existing protection and anchors.  This involves trusting other members of the climbing community since they and not any government agency is responsible for placing and maintaining these bits of metal.  But on most climbs the climbing party has to design, place, recover and use again the system that enables the rope to stop a fall.

    Climbers get proficient at a real life understanding of high school physics concepts such as forces, vectors, potential and kinetic energy.  The other thing they get good at is judging and balancing risks.  An old climbing joke is, “Judgment comes from experience and experience comes from poor judgment.”

    When a climbing party gets to the base of a cliff they look up and normally see a big old rock and a series of cracks.  To get to the top they’ll need to determine how to take a bunch of nylon and a small pile of aluminum shapes and use them in a manner that will prevent people from hitting the ground if they fall.  No government agency or larger group is there checking: do they have the right things, is the weather okay, do they have the permitted experience and strength to try the crack?  The decision to attempt this climb is totally on the two climbers and their judgment.

    Once they start it is up to the first person (aka “the leader”) to use the nylon and aluminum in a manner that will prevent him or her from falling farther than they want to if something goes wrong, while the other person is responsible for using the remaining materials to set up a belay that will hold the force of a fall and the combined impact of two bodies on the belay.

    While climbing, the leader evaluates risk and their meager pieces of aluminum and must always remember that they will fall twice as far as they are above the last piece of protection (aluminum bit) they placed into the crack.  When the leader decides he wants protection, he must find a place to stop that he can take at least one hand from the rock, then size up the crack with his eyes, unclip the hopefully correct size of aluminum, place the metal into the crack in a manner that won’t rip out under a shock but be removable by the other person, pull up slack rope and clip it to the protection and then start climbing again.

    This continues for the entire pitch (one section of a climb between belays) with the leader constantly judging the difficulty of the next section, how the crack changes size, how much stuff he has that will fit the crack and the knowledge that when he stops he must have enough stuff left over to set up the next belay.

    When the leader gets to the end of the pitch because the rope runs out, or it is a natural stopping place, the leader uses the remaining stuff to set up an anchor.  This anchor will protect the leader from falling to the ground and provide the second with a belay as they climb up removing all the stuff the leader left in the crack.

    Normally what happens next is the two people switch roles and the initial leader remains the belayer and the original belayer takes over the role of the leader.  This gets swapped back and forth until the top of the climb is reached.   Take a person and make them responsible for designing, using and recovering the system that will keep them alive and you get a person who learns to trust in their judgment and not the judgments of others.

    These pieces of metal and nylon are placed…

     

    in those cracks so the rope can work.

     

    Rappeling is Ugg (Or-great climbers die on rappel)

    Sometimes when you complete a climb you can just walk off, other times you must set up a rappel.  A rappel (or abseil for the Teutons in the crowd) is conducting a controlled slide down a rope normally using a device to provide friction and your hand to control speed.

    Most climbers instinctively dislike rappelling.  During a climb, if you never fall the climbing chain is a backup. The rope, protection, climbing harness and belay anchors are redundant because you never fully tested them because you never fell.  On an abseil, you are 100% dependent on all those items.  If one part of the chain fails- you die.

    Again, the rappel chain is entirely the responsibility of the climbing party.  They set it up, or inspect and use it- or they approve of an earlier anchor set up by parties unknown.  The climbers hook into the rope and friction device with only their approval, or after the quick inspection by their partner, and the party is responsible for recovering their rope at the end so it can be used again.   Independence is grown within people that learn to trust their own judgments on a regular basis for their continued life.

    If you screw up one of 4 different systems here- you die.

     

    You are Responsible for You (Or- did you know that a body falling from a great height can break a granite block by the force of the impact?)

    Some climbing takes place in intensely public places but most climbing takes place far from the madding crowd.  And even within popular climbing areas like Yosemite Valley, Joshua Tree, Mt Lemmon or the Shawangunks, there is a bunch of space, 1000s of climbs and relatively few climbers.

    If something goes wrong the chances are you are on your own for a matter of hours (or a day or more on a Yosemite big wall).  Go climb at a more remote location and you might be the only two or three people within hours, or even days, of the climb and you are on your own, period.

    Combine this with the decisions you make concerning the route you will go, the protection you will place and the chances that you’ll take with the weather or other dangers (avalanches, heat or cold etc.) and climbers tend to trust their own judgment and often are not willing listen to others without the same base knowledge of the subject and environment.  Looking at a scary move above a bad piece of protection looks a lot different a 1000 feet up a climb that is multiple days from the trailhead than it does where you can see the parking lot in Joshua Tree. People used to, and who enthusiastically embrace self judgment, tend not to see collective solutions for many issues.

     

    Protection math. The leader falls twice the distance he is from his protection. (Unless he screws up and a piece fails- then he gets the additional distance penalty.)

     

    A sub-set of “you are responsible for you” is “you are responsible for your decisions about your partner.” Since your partner holds your life in their hands and their decisions, you are vested in the determination you make about climbing with somebody.  There is no governing body to stamp them OK or to tell somebody you can’t climb because you are a dangerous fool.

    At best there is the reputation a climber will earn within a social network.  But because climbers travel and may not have their usual partner with them, it is not unusual to link up with a climber you don’t know well for a climb.  You watch the new partner on smaller routes and speak to see if styles and techniques mesh.  But ultimately it is up to you and nobody else to say.  “Yep, I trust her with my life.  Let’s go do this climb.” I have done El Capitan with a climber I knew only a few days and there were other climbers I knew for years that I wouldn’t tie into a rope with no matter how short and easy the climb.

    Your belayer and the anchors he set up. Your life is in his hands. Did you choose well?

    Another sub-set of “you are responsible for you” is self-rescue.  Climbers will go to great lengths to help other climbers but, and it’s a big but, they are incredibly judgmental of those they try to help.  If the accident involved something truly beyond the climbing party, it is a point of honor to help a fellow climber.  E.g. in 1980, Yosemite Valley was hit with a large earthquake and a party needed to be rescued from partway up El Capitan.  They were well equipped, but the quake changed the size of the cracks so much their gear didn’t fit and falling blocks from the earthquake had destroyed some rappel stations. They couldn’t go up or down so a rescue was mounted to enable them to retreat.

    If you need rescue because you didn’t follow basic climbing safety skills- you will be judged harshly.  Combine a climber’s inherent pride in their own abilities and responsibility with a desire not to look incompetent/stupid to their group, and people often take the initiative to learn self-rescue skills and figure out their own way out of a problem.  These type of people aren’t much fond of handouts.

     

    You Choose the Parameters (Or- This is my Everest so bugger off)

    Climbing has many sub-genres, differing levels of commitment and inherent skills, plus no scoring so how to tell a “winner” depends on the person involved.  Climbing does have internal socially accepted rules.  The most basic socially accepted norm (not a legal requirement) is the first ascent party sets the initial terms of a climb and if you can’t improve on that, don’t bring the climb down to you.

    Over the years and decades since technical climbing first started, climbing equipment, training, skills and experience have continued to evolve and improve.  Because of these improvements the average climber of today can accomplish more than their predecessors and the very best climbers can now accomplish climbs that were not even dreamed about when I learned how to climb in 1976.

    One of these world class athletes recently accomplished a free solo of El Capitan in four hours.  Translated: a guy climbed a 3300 foot high cliff that steeply overhangs for hundreds of feet in places with no ropes and no partner in under four hours.  (The film in theaters now is incredible.)

    The climb in question was originally done in the early 1960s in almost a week with lots of specialized climbing techniques that involve making a movable ladder, and even today most parties take 3-4 days while still using the same movable ladder technique.  It is still acceptable to climb that climb the older way or to improve on the older way at some point less than the free solo.

    What is NOT acceptable is to chip new holds or add permanent features the original party did not use.  Again there is no legal force to the prohibition, but there is a great deal of community pressure.  If you want to not face condemnation you don’t bring the climb down to you.  Back off and come back when you have the skill and the community will support you for that decision.

    Her Mt Everest for the day. It might be short but it ain’t easy.

    There is no scoring in climbing and the mountains don’t care that you are there.  Most times there is no other spectator to witness what you do on a climb and talk about afterwards.

    Some things are considered cheating, but only if you omit them.  What does that mean?  A leader placing protection and then having the rope pulled tight so they can rest is considered less than top form.  If you say, “I rested from a Hex placed right before the crux but then did the move clean.” No problem.  If you lie about that and are found out then people will color their judgments of you.

    All that being said, other climbers understand that skills deteriorate with age, work/family commitments etc., but the desire to climb remains in many of us.  In my best days I could do some intense climbing and frankly climbed some routes that today I have a hard time believing I did since they are so far beyond me now.   I climb more moderate routes with my nearly 60 year old body and still get great joy from doing so.  The rest of the climbing community realizes that every route can be just the right difficulty for a person and so enjoy the climb. (As long as the norms are not strangled).

    Climbing takes commitment (Or- summit or plummet).

    A person can learn the basics of belaying and rappelling in a weekend, but to learn how to be a safe and proficient climber takes extended periods of learning, physical training, and the ability to “get into the Zen of the suck.”  No matter your skill level there is always the next climb that makes you stretch beyond to increase your limits.

    That is one of the addicting things about climbing, there is always a new climb that will challenge you beyond your limits.  Whether that “next” climb is because of a harder difficulty, less chances at protection, danger from elements beyond your control, an extensive commitment of energy etc.   Even with basic climbs you will be working with muscular exhaustion and failure, fear, pain to the limbs and extremities, remaining focused during periods of intense boredom, heat/cold/wind/rain and even insects, birds or reptiles.  (Yes, a chuckwalla bit and opened up my finger that I stuck in a crack too near to it.  I had to quickly make a move up without falling while my blood was making the crack too slick to hang from.)

    As I told my kids (and others) when I was teaching them to rock climb, “Climbing isn’t necessarily fun, but it is enjoyable on balance.  Those are two different concepts.”  People who learn how to accept and manage fear or discomfort/pain while remaining focused on accomplishment tend to make their judgments on what a person should accept as a personal responsibility.

    Climbing opens up areas, vistas and experiences closed to others.  The first is the knowledge of what an amazing thing the body and mind are.  When you unlock the mystery of physicality and practical engineering that enable you to climb something new and just beyond your earlier abilities you feel great (maybe after you regain control of muscles and the taste of fear in your mouth subsides).

    Plus that great feeling is always there as a potential for you.  As an older climber, I have re-climbed routes that were easy for me years earlier, but with my current attributes the same route still had the same sense of individual accomplishment.

    Most climbing areas are outdoor wonderlands.  Being able to traverse these incredible spaces open up vistas to you that others simply can’t experience.  Watching the day end 1500 feet up a vertical cliff while having some food and preparing to sleep because you still have another vertical 1500 feet to go is like being in space and looking down on earth.  You are in a different place than the horizontal world below.

    Sometimes the experience is not as benign but just as incredible.   Huddling part way up a cliff on top of your nylon ropes trying not to touch any metal while in the middle of a sudden thunderstorm gets much more exciting when the St Elmo’s fire starts, you hear buzzing in the air and the simultaneous blinding flash from lightning and artillery like crash of thunder as you smell the ozone from the lightning strike one crack over.  With that experience you REALLY get an idea of the power of a storm.

    View from 2700 feet up Yosemite’s El Capitan. We spent the night here in hammocks and did the last 300 feet in the morning.

     

    Enjoying the route near Prescott, Arizona.

     

    If climbers are so cool and freedom embracing why aren’t they running the world? (Or- At both ends of the economic spectrum there is a leisure class.)

    So climbers tend to be self-starters who have a strong independent streak and intense desire to make their own judgments.  They enjoy working in small teams who rely on their combined skills (and equipment) to solve problems and realize that the mountains don’t care about their personal issues, and that they must resolve the dilemma in front of them.  There are many climbers who are doctors, engineers, run businesses etc.  But there are also climbers who are well named “climbing bums” as well.

    Climbing can be addicting for people who can’t get the emotional highs and physical rushes elsewhere.  The larger world seems too small and insignificant to what they receive from climbing.  A percentage of these people have the innate physical and developed emotional skills to drive the sport farther and standards higher.  Some push too far and die or suffer grievous injury.  The vast majority of climbers do balance the outside world and the climbing world and even if they give up climbing retain the lessons learned and apply them to life and business.

    For me, taking up climbing in high school did contribute to my outlook on life and a person’s relationship to society.  I embraced climbing fully and went beyond weekend rock climbing for decades.  By the time I entered college I had climbed big walls, some well-known mountains by challenging routes and was part of a mountain rescue group.

    There has been very little thrown at me by the “real world” that I hadn’t already faced. So IMHO my relative success in life was positively influenced by climbing.

    My advice is, tie into a rope yourself, or if a friend or younger relative wants to give climbing a go- tell them “hell yeah.”  They’ll have a chance to become a person with a well-developed sense of personal responsibility and most likely will be liberty and freedom embracing individual for it.

    Summit of the Grand Teton, Wyoming.

     

     

     

    **Note- Yes I have done the climbs pictured.

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em for Week 9

    I went 9-5 last week, for a nice change from mediocracy.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/31.

     

    Here are this week’s picks:

    Oakland (+120) at San Francisco (-3 / -140). Two teams with bad records who both have a few close losses. The 49ers injury situation looks worse than the Raiders, however. OAK – take the points.

    Detroit (+185) at Minnesota (-5 / -220). Two tricky teams to pick. Minnesota seems slightly better, and they’re at home (even if that’s meant jack & shit this year to either team). MIN – give the points.

    Kansas City (-9 / -450) at Cleveland (+350). An improved Browns team has the ability to hold the Chiefs under that point spread, but then I also thought that last week against the Steelers, who were able to take advantage of some holes in Cleveland’s defense. The Browns had 2 interceptions against Tampa Bay, and still lost. And I don’t think Mahomes is going to throw 2 interceptions.

    Pittsburgh (+130) at Baltimore (-3 / -150). This is a tough one. One key to the game will be how well the Ravens tough pass defense matches up against Roethlisberger and the Steelers pass offense & vice versa. Pittsburgh has shown themselves to be a good road team this year, but I think Baltimore has enough to pull out a 3-point win. BAL – give the points.

    Tampa Bay (+250) at Carolina (-6.5 / -300). With either Fitzpatrick (who has historic interception problems of his own) or Winston, the Buccaneers have a definite QB disadvantage to Newton and the Panthers. With the spread under a TD, I’d go with Carolina. CAR – give the points.

    NY Jets (+140) at Miami (-3 / -160). Another tough one. Miami has a record that their stats don’t seem to support. I’m guessing that a lot of that is due to turnovers, and they will be key if the Dolphins want to win. So at home, against a mediocre team. MIA – give the points.

    Atlanta (+105) at Washington (-1.5 / -125). The Redskins are the better team, and the spread is basically a pick ‘em game. I wouldn’t bet the house, but I also wouldn’t have a problem putting three figures down on this one. WAS – give the points.

    Chicago (-10 / -500) at Buffalo (+400). Chicago has shown a talent for throwing away games this year, but the Bills terrible offense and their resultantly overstretched defense gives the Bears a good chance to meet that large point spread. CHI – give the points.

    Houston (± 100) at Denver (-1 / -120). Houston has reeled off a string of 5 straight wins, but they are mostly against teams ranging from mediocre to bad. While the Broncos fit in the top end of that description, they are also a team with a definite home advantage. (Their two home losses this year were against KC & the LA Rams).  I think Denver has a decent chance of stopping the Texans’ streak. DEN – give the point.

    LA Chargers (+105) at Seattle (-1.5 / -125). Tough one. The Chargers have a good team this year, and Seattle has had some close calls against some weak teams. LAC – take the points.

    LA Rams (+105) at New Orleans (-1.5 / -125). Another hard to call game. I’d like to take the Saints at home, and they’re certainly capable of it, but their weaker defense makes me think the Rams do have an advantage. LAR – take the points.

    Green Bay (+200) at New England (-6 / -240). The Packers are not the Bills, so that point spread strikes me as a bit high. GB – take the points.

    Tennessee (+230) at Dallas (-6 / -270). If the Cowboys can get its’ offense going, I doubt the Titans will be able to keep up. (Tennessee is just above Buffalo in points scored). I think a 6-point spread is about right. DAL – give the points.

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em for Week 8

    I went 6-7 last week, so I’m still doing crappy. I put in  a lot more effort last week, and got the same result as when I was half-assing it. You can probably guess what’s going to happen this week. That being said, I’ve added the moneyline odds. Moneyline odds are based around 100 – if there’s a plus in front of them, it’s the amount you’d win from a $100 bet. If there’s a minus, it’s the amount you’d have to bet to get $100. So in the first example, a $100 bet on Miami would win you $290, where a $360 bet on Houston would win you $100.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/25.

     

    Here are this week’s picks:

    Miami (+290) at Houston (-7.5 / -360). The Dolphins haven’t been so bad, and the Texans haven’t been so good to normally support a spread over a TD, but Ryan Tannehill is out. And while he’s not the greatest QB around, he’s the best the Dolphins have. HOU – give the points.

    Philadelphia (-3 / -165) at Jacksonville (+145). Cody Kessler seemed to breathe new life into the Jaguars in the second half of last week’s game. After screwing up for an entire month, however, they still have a lot to prove. PHI – give the points.

    Cleveland (+320) at Pittsburgh (-8.5 / -400). Cleveland has shown that they are a much better team than last year. Tough defense, decent running game. I’d be very surprised if the Steelers can meet that point spread. CLE – take the points.

    Denver (+400) at Kansas City (-10 / -520). Again, a point spread I’m not sure that the favorite can meet. The Chiefs have shown they are a strong team, but the Broncos displayed their own skills last week. Even if it was just the Cardinals that they stomped. I wouldn’t take the moneyline, even at 4 to 1, but I’d take the spread. DEN – take the points.

    NY Jets (+280) at Chicago (-7 / -340). Chicago has shown a great talent for letting me down. I think they’ll win, but again, I think it will be close. NYJ – take the points.

    Washington (-110) at NY Giants (PK / -110). The Redskins showed some toughness in their win over the Cowboys. Maybe it’s just because I haven’t paid enough attention, but I don’t see the Giants beating them. WAS

    Seattle (+135) at Detroit (-3 / -150). I’ve been underestimating the Lions all season. At home against the Seahawks, I’ll stop that. DET – give the points.

    Tampa Bay (+170) at Cincinnati (-4 / -200). Tampa isn’t a bad team, but Winston throws a lot of passes to people in the wrong jerseys. Cincinnati is a good enough team to take advantage of that. CIN – give the points.

    Baltimore (-2 / -130) at Carolina (+115). Baltimore is a good enough team to beat Carolina. Cam Newton is a good enough QB to be a pain in the ass for the Ravens, but I don’t think he’s quite good enough to get the win. And with a 2 point spread, it’s basically a pick’em game. BAL – give the points.

    Indianapolis (-3 / -155) at Oakland (+135). Oakland has lost a lot of close games, but the Colts have a good offense. A really good offense. IND – give the points.

    San Francisco (-1 / -110) at Arizona (-110). Ah, the suck bowl. Does anyone care? Meh, ARI – take the point.

    Green Bay (+350) at LA Rams (-9 / -450). I think the Rams will probably win, but again, I also think the Packers are a good enough team to cover the spread. I’d feel better about that prediction if the spread was 11 points, though. GB – take the points.

    New Orleans (-110) at Minnesota (-1 / -110). The Vikings are a good team, but I don’t know if they’re as good as the Saints. NO – give the point.

    New England ( -14 / -1250) at Buffalo (+800). Okay, now that is a point spread. Still, I think the Patriots will make that. NE – give the points.

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em: Week 7

    I think I went 6-7-1 last week, so that sucks. I’m going to put in a little more effort this week to try to improve on that.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/18.

     

    It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks:

    Denver (-1) at Arizona. I do believe the Broncos can handle the Cardinals, even in Arizona. They haven’t traveled well this year (0-2), but Arizona hasn’t been an intimidating place to play (Cards: 0-3 at home) The top two leaders in tackles for the Cards (who are both in the top 5 in the NFL) are both safeties, suggesting to me that they’re letting a lot of rushes into their backfield (To be fair, their #3 guy is an LB). Their offense is the really weak part of the team, however, as only Buffalo has scored fewer points this year. Denver’s biggest weakness corresponds to Arizona’s. Denver’s rushing defense (27th) hasn’t been very good this year, but Arizona’s rushing game (32nd) has been terrible. Meanwhile, their rushing game against the Cards’ rushing defense shows a pretty big advantage. DEN – give the point.

    Note: due to me sending this in late, this will be posted after this game has finished. If I got the pick wrong, you know that’s true.

    Tennessee at LA Chargers (-6.5). The Titans are another team with a mediocre offense, one I think the Chargers can deal with. On the other side of the ball, the Titans have a decent defense, although their passing defense is much better than their running defense (26th). This works in favor of the Chargers, particularly Melvin Gordon. Playing in LA, I think the Chargers will be able to get that extra TD to beat the spread. LAC – give the points.

    New England (-3) at Chicago. I wish the point spread were larger, it would give me more confidence in saying the Bears may well have a rebound game at home (against the spread, if nothing else). They’ve done well at home, while the Patriots have looked great at Gillette Stadium, and well… not so much anywhere else. The one key weakness I would fear would be Chicago’s average pass defense against Tom Brady and the rest of a team that knows how to make plays when necessary. Usually. CHI – take the points.

    Cleveland at Tampa Bay (-3.5). The one area where the Buccaneers have shown real weakness is pass defense, where they are giving up the highest average YPG and over 3 TDs a game. They are quite fortunate, therefore, to be playing the Browns, who are tied for scoring the fewest passing TDs per game behind high round draft pick Baker Mayfield. Cleveland’s running game is one of the strongest in the league, although Tampa has shown they aren’t too bad at stopping the run. I think the biggest question is, can Jameis Winston throw more TDs to his own receivers than “completions” to Denzel Ward? Assuming the answer is yes, I’ll go with the Bucs at home. TB – give the points

    Detroit (-3) at Miami. The Dolphins stats don’t seem to support their record (partially due to a large blowout loss in New England). The only statistical advantage I can see for them is Miami’s ground game against the Lions’ rushing defense. And while Miami’s passing defense has given up a lot of yardage, they also have the most interceptions in the league. Additionally, Detroit hasn’t shown they can play on the road this year. MIA – take the points

    Carolina at Philadelphia (-4.5). Another game where I think the home/road records come into play. The statistical matchups are fairly even. A lot will come down to how the Eagles’ can (or cannot) hold Cam Newton at bay (or intercept him three times as they did last year). While that’s unlikely, I do think they will be able to turn their home field into a real advantage. PHI – give the points

    Buffalo at Indianapolis (-7.5). The Bills have shown a heroic inability to score points, with the one unusual exception being their one win against Minnesota. They recently hired Former Panthers QB Derek Anderson to pump up their anemic passing. I think the most important matchup will be the Colts passing vs Buffalo’s pass defense. While the Bills could keep it close with good defensive play and better offense, I don’t expect their new QB to make that much of a difference. IND – give the points

    Cincinnati at Kansas City (-6). The Bengals had a hard time dealing with Pittsburgh’s passing, and they are now facing a similar problem facing the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. While the Bengals have shown they can play on the road, they’re also now facing one of the best offenses smarting over a close loss. Their best hope is going to come dealing with a mediocre Kansas City defense. KC – give the points

    Minnesota (-3) at NY Jets. The Jets are going to have a hard time stopping Kirk Cousins. The other matchups in this game are pretty much of a wash, statistically. They are probably going to get somewhere on the ground, but unless Sam Darnold plays better than he has previously this year, I think the Vikings have a definite advantage. MIN – give the points

    Houston at Jacksonville (-4.5) The Jaguars remain the league’s statistical leader on defense, although they appear to be in freefall after two big losses to Dallas and Kansas City. Meanwhile, The Texans appear to be on the rise after starting the season 0-3. I think this is one game where the numbers don’t matter nearly as much as the motivations for the players. The Jaguars will be looking to end their losing ‘streak’ at home, and they do have the talent to do so. JAC – give the points

    New Orleans at Baltimore (-2.5). The Saints have the league’s highest scoring offense going up against the league’s stingiest defense in the Ravens. Typically, in this matchup, you pick defense over offense. However, I’m feeling contrarian right now. NO – take the points

    LA Rams (-9.5) at San Francisco. I’ve been checking team and individual player stats for a while. For this one, I’m just going to take the Rams. LAR – give the points

    NY Giants at Atlanta (-5). The matchups for this one are fairly even. As above, I’m getting lazy, and it’s getting late, so I’m just going to go with the home team. ATL – give the points                                                                                                                                 .

     

     

     

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em – Week 6

    I think I went 7-8 last week, so that sucks.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/3.

    It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks:

    Arizona at Minnesota (-10). I think the Vikings are the better team, but I don’t know if they’re 10 points better. I’m going to say no. ATL – take the points

    LA Chargers at Cleveland (PK). The Browns are a much improved team this year. Since they’re playing at home this week, I’m going with them. CLE – PK

    Chicago (-3) at Miami. Miami’s been playing much worse recently. Chicago’s been playing well. CHI – give the points

    Carolina at Washington (-1). Kind of surprised about this one. I think the Panthers are the better choice. Watch them lose by 3 TDs. CAR – take the points

    Indianapolis at NY Jets (-2). The Colts have been finding ways to lose all year, so with the Jets at home and the low point spread, I’ll go with them. NYJ – give the points

    Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-1.5). Another game where the spread seems a little low. I’m going with the Bengals. CIN – give the points

    Tampa Bay at Atlanta (-3). Tough one to pick, but I’ll go with the Bucs. TB – take the points

    Seattle (-2.5) at Oakland. I think the Seahawks offense can deal with the Raiders defense. SEA – give the points

    Buffalo at Houston (-10). They have the same record, but the Texans have a much better point spread. Still, 10 points seems a bit high. BUF – take the points

    LA Rams (-7) at Denver. The Rams are steamrolling it this year, and the Broncos… aren’t. LAR – give the points.

    Jacksonville (-3) at Dallas. Jax hasn’t been that great, and Dallas hasn’t been that bad this year. I could go either way on this game, but I’ll pick the Cowboys. DAL – take the points

    Baltimore (-3) at Tennessee. Another couple teams with the same record, but I think the Ravens are the better team. BAL – give the points

    Kansas City at New England (-3.5). The Patriots have been playing better recently, but I think the Chiefs have the edge. KC – take the points

    San Francisco at Green Bay (-9.5). The Packers are the better team, but I think that point spread seems a bit high. SF- take the points

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em – Week 5

    I think I went 8-5-2 last week, so a little better than previously.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/3.


    It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks!

    Indianapolis at New England (-10.5). The Patriots are probably the better team, but they have been wildly inconsistent this year, which makes the 10.5 point spread seem a bit high to me, even at Foxboro. IND – take the points

    Baltimore (-3) at Cleveland. If the spread were a bit higher, I might take the Browns, but I think Ravens can cover 3 points. BAL – give the points

    Jacksonville at Kansas City (-3). Two pretty good teams, and the Chiefs very good offense makes for a compelling story going up against the Jaguars defense. While the traditional logic is to take the defense in that scenario, they’re also playing in KC, and the new rules restricting defense make me think the Chiefs have an advantage. KC – give the points

    Tennessee (-3) at Buffalo. The Titans are looking like a good team this year, and the Bills are looking… like the Bills. TEN – give the points

    NY Giants at Carolina (-7). The only thing I wonder about with this game is whether the Panthers can cover the spread. Based on not very much, I’ll say yes. CAR – give the points

    Denver at NY Jets (-1). A fight between two mediocre teams. However, with a one point spread, it’s essentially picking which team will win outright. Basically, who sucks less on the given day. I’ll say the Jets. NYJ – give the point

    Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-4). Another fight between two teams unlikely to see the playoffs. I want to pick the Steelers, but I’m really thinking they’re going to win by a FG or less. Ah, screw it. PIT – give the points

    Green Bay (-1) at Detroit. Another game that’s essentially a pick ‘em. I hate picking so many away teams, but I’m not picking the Lions. GB – give the point

    Miami at Cincinnati (-6). Damn, another game where I want to pick the away team, at least against the spread. I’ll ignore that here. CIN – give the points

    Oakland at LA Chargers (-6). I think LA is the better team here, and they’re at home, so this is one of my earlier choices. LA – give the points

    Arizona at San Francisco (-5). San Francisco isn’t that great, but Arizona has been terrible this year. SF – give the points

    Minnesota at Philadelphia (-3). I think the Eagles will be able to cover a 3 point spread at home against the Vikings. PHI – give the points

    LA Rams (-7) at Seattle. The Rams have been a much better team than the Seahawks this year, so this is one away team I don’t mind picking. LAR – give the points

    Dallas at Houston (-3). I really don’t know which team to pick in the Texas bowl, so I’ll go with the Texans at home. HOU – give the points

    Washington at New Orleans (-6.5). New Orleans has a very good offense, but they’re headed against a Redskins defense that isn’t bad. Meanwhile, the Washington offense isn’t bad, and they’re going up against a Saints defense that’s mediocre. If the spread was a bit higher, I’d probably go with Washington, but I do think NO can cover under a TD. NO – give the points

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-‘em – Week 4

    I think I went 8-8 last week, but in my defense, I never said I wasn’t terrible at handicapping.

    If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 9/26.

     

    It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks:

    Minnesota at the LA Rams (-7) The Rams have looked really good every week this year. The Vikings have looked like…. The Vikings (non-early-1970’s). 7 points at home? LAR – give the points.

    Miami at New England (-7) I hate to pick against a team that’s come up with a way to win for many years, (and at home, too.) but New England has not been looking good this year. The Dolphins have found a way to win this year. And against a TD spread? MIA – take the points.

    Houston at Indianapolis (-1½) The Texans have looked like a team that finds a way to lose – all three games this year. Indy just looks like a bad team, one that’s playing at home. IND – give the points.

    Cincinnati at Atlanta (-5½) Atlanta’s not a horrible team, and Cincinnati isn’t a great one, but 5½ points to the Falcons seems a bit much. I’d say the Bengals will at least cover the spread.CIN – take the points.

    Buffalo at Green Bay (-10) The Bills are an odd team. Mostly terrible, but can come out to play, as the Vikings saw. And since the Vikings tied the Packers, it would seem like both opponents would be comparable for the Bills. Therefore, I’m going to go with the Packers in this one (I know it makes no sense; that’s the point. Fuck you.) GB – give the points.

    Detroit at Dallas (-10) This one is hard for me, as I’d like to see both teams lose. 10 points seems like a lot for the offense starved Cowboys, even against a team with as shoddy a defense as the Lions. DET – take the points.

    NY Jets at Jacksonville (7½) The Jags are almost certainly a better team than the Jets; the real question is what the Jets will show – will they be the same team that smashed the Lions, or the one that gave Cleveland its’ first win in a couple years? For that coin flip, I choose not: JAX – give the points.

    Tampa Bay at Chicago (-3) Again, I think Tampa is a better team than Chicago, but Chicago is home. Ehh, I’ll give this one to the road warriors. TAM – give the points.

    Philadelphia (-4) at Tennessee. The Eagles are tough, but so are the Titans. And the Titans are at home. TEN – take the points.

    Seattle (-3) at Arizona. Wow, you really have to suck. I mean, you really have to suck when you are a field goal down to Seattle as the favorite. Kinda hate to do this, but I’m going to pick the Cards here. ARI – take the points.

    Cleveland at Oakland (-2½). Cleveland’s been playing a lot better this year, but they’re playing in Oakland. However, the spread is low. Yes, I’m actually taking the Browns, minus the points. Watch them win by 1. CLE – give the points.

    San Francisco at LA Chargers (-10½) The 49rs suck, but I don’t think they suck more than a TD + FG against the Chargers (who aren’t that great themselves), even in LA. SF – take the points.

    New Orleans (-3) at NY Giants. Yeah, the Saints are a better team than the Giants. I’d give them this one. NO – give the points.

    Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-3). Yeah, and the Ravens are a better team than the Steelers, I’d give them this one. BAL – take the points

    Kansas City (-5) at Denver. The Chiefs might have it over the Broncos, but a 5 point fav in Denver? They  aren’t that good. DEN -take the points.

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-em – Week 3

     

    NY Jets at Cleveland (-3) Starting off with a tough one. Cleveland has been showing some cojones this season, but I have to think the Jets will pull through. NYJ – take the points.

    Indianapolis at Philadelphia (-6.5) Both teams have been mediocre this year. Indy hasn’t shown much of a talent for covering the spread, however, so I’ll go with Philly at home. PHI – give the points

    Cincinnati at Carolina (-3) Carolina pissed me off by blowing last week’s game, while the Bengals have shown up for both of theirs. CIN – take the points.

    Tennessee at Jacksonville (-6.5) Jacksonville is a much better team than I originally thought, so I’ll go ahead and take them this week, probably only to be let down. JAX – give the points.

    New Orleans at Atlanta (-3) The Falcons are another team that’s better than I thought. However, I still don’t think they’re better than the Saints and their insane offense. NO – take the points

    Denver at Baltimore (-5) Denver has a rather amazing 2-0 record. The reason I think it’s amazing will probably be apparent by halftime. BAL – give the points.

    NY Giants at Houston (-3) Crap. Tough game. I wouldn’t put a cent on this IRL, but for here, I’ll go with the Giants. NYG – take the points.

    Oakland at Miami (-3) Miami has been looking good so far this year. So them playing at home against a mediocre team like the Raiders is one of my easier picks this week. Watch me get it wrong. MIA – give the points.

    Green Bay (-3) at Washington I hate Washington. I really, really hate Washington. Have I mentioned that I hate Washington? Go Green Bay. GB – give the points.

    Buffalo at Minnesota (-16.5) Minnesota is a better team than the Bills (who are the new Browns) but 16.5 points better? Mmmm… BUF – take the points

    San Francisco at Kansas City (-10) Again, KC is a better team than the 49ers, but 10 points? Well, okay. KC – give the points.

    LA Chargers at LA Rams (-7) Imma go with the Chargers, for no particular reason. LAC – take the points.

    Chicago (-5) at Arizona Chicago isn’t that great, but Arizona sucks almost as hard as its former Senator. CHI – give the points.

    Dallas at Seattle (-3) In another “I don’t like this team” special, fuck the Cowboys. SEA – give the points.

    New England (-6.5) at Detroit The Patriots are better than the Lions, but I’m not sure they’re a TD better in Detroit. OTOH, I’m not sure they aren’t. NE – give the points.

    Pittsburgh (-2) at Tampa Bay Tampa has looked much better than I thought they’d be. The Steelers haven’t. I’ll go with the Bucs. TB – take the points.

  • BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-em – Week 2

    Introduction for week 2

    I approached The Powers That Be with the idea for writing a weekly NFL pick-‘em column. They graciously agreed, and then I spit the bit on getting the first column in on time, because I’m irresponsible. The good news about that is my picks are probably going to suck, and this column can serve as a vehicle for Glibs to make fun of my handicapping skills.

    That said – let’s see what’s up this week:

    The week starts with the Ravens at the Bengals. Baltimore (-1) at Cincinnati – Baltimore looked much better against the Bills last week than the Bengals did against the Colts. And while the Colts were a better opponent and the Bengals will be playing at home, I still have to take the Ravens since a 1 point spread is essentially a pick-‘em scenario. I also think there will be a few Ravens looking for payback from last year. BAL – give up the point

    Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-5). Pittsburgh giving up a late lead against Cleveland was surely disappointing to Steelers fans, and the game resulting in a tie was rather non-conclusive, although several people have pointed out that the Browns will now wind up with a better record than last year regardless of what they do from here on out. KC handled the Chargers, and although their defense looks somewhat suspect, Pittsburgh does too. I wouldn’t go so far as to pick a KC upset, but I’d take them with the points. KC – take the points

    Philadelphia (-3) at Tampa Bay. Tampa looked surprisingly good, at least on offense. The Eagles have a better defense than New Orleans, however. The Bucs played well enough last week to make me nervous about this game, but I still would have to go with the Eagles, and give up the 3 points. PHI – give the points.

    New York Giants at Dallas (-3). Wow. I don’t like anything about this game. The teams, the spread, well… maybe the cheerleaders. That said, I would never put a cent down on this game in the real world. In Internet land, I’ll take Dallas at home because I think they lost to a better team last week. DAL – give the points.

    New England (-2) at Jacksonville. I hate constantly giving points. While this isn’t something I’d bet my house on, there’s gonna be at least one upset. Screw it, Jags win at home against a Pats team that, while still good, isn’t what it used to be. JAC – take the points.

    Minnesota at Green Bay (-1). Well, this one will piss some people off. Sorry Vikes fans, I gotta go with the Packers here, especially after the balls they showed in last week’s comeback. GB – give the point.

    Houston (-2) at Tennessee. Houston played NE tough last week. Tennessee played Miami tough last week. I’d kind of like to take the home team here, but I won’t. HOU – give the points.

    Cleveland at New Orleans (-9). Cleveland may really, really suck, but they at least proved they can play in the NFL, even if they think they’re playing soccer and a tie is okay. Also, Tampa does have offensive talent, but New Orleans really showed nothing on defense last week. NO has the talent to blow out the Browns, but perhaps the Browns will make a habit of actually fighting this year. CLE – take the points.

    Carolina at Atlanta (-5.5). I’d feel good about taking the Panthers if the spread were over a touchdown. This is another game I’m really on the fence about. Eh, screw it CAR – take the points.

    Indianapolis at Washington (-6). Washington beat Arizona pretty badly last week, and Indy got dealt with by Cincy. However, Cincinnati was a playoff team, Arizona has sucked for years, and I HATE HATE HATE anything to do with DC. Fuck you, Redskins. IND – take the points

    Miami at NY Jets (-3). Ehhh, ummmmm – the Jets. NYJ – give the points.

    LA Chargers (-7.5) at Buffalo. That Ravens/Bills game was brutal. That is, unless you don’t care about the Bills, in which case it was just really, really funny. Really funny. And while there’s a decent chance the Bills will be shamed into playing better, there’s a limit as to how much better they can play. LAC – give the points.

    Detroit at San Francisco (-3.5). Ever wish both teams could lose? Detroit at least used to be a worthwhile part of the US economy, but SF has the better team. SF – give the points

    Arizona at LA Rams (-13). Okay. Now THAT is a point spread. In a fuck John McCain massive point spread special, I say LAR – give the points.

    Oakland at Denver (-6). Given Denver’s lackluster (and quite inconsistent) performance over the past few years, I really thought about taking the Raiders with the points. However, it’s in Denver, and Oaktown wasn’t looking that great last week. DEN – give the points.

    Seattle at Chicago (-3). Another tough one, as both teams had tough losses last week. Again, I’ll go with Chicago at home. Maybe they’ll give Mack some energy bars and he’ll actually play 2 good halves instead of one great one. CHI – give the points.