I went 6-7 last week, so I’m still doing crappy. I put in a lot more effort last week, and got the same result as when I was half-assing it. You can probably guess what’s going to happen this week. That being said, I’ve added the moneyline odds. Moneyline odds are based around 100 – if there’s a plus in front of them, it’s the amount you’d win from a $100 bet. If there’s a minus, it’s the amount you’d have to bet to get $100. So in the first example, a $100 bet on Miami would win you $290, where a $360 bet on Houston would win you $100.
If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/25.
Here are this week’s picks:
Miami (+290) at Houston (-7.5 / -360). The Dolphins haven’t been so bad, and the Texans haven’t been so good to normally support a spread over a TD, but Ryan Tannehill is out. And while he’s not the greatest QB around, he’s the best the Dolphins have. HOU – give the points.
Philadelphia (-3 / -165) at Jacksonville (+145). Cody Kessler seemed to breathe new life into the Jaguars in the second half of last week’s game. After screwing up for an entire month, however, they still have a lot to prove. PHI – give the points.
Cleveland (+320) at Pittsburgh (-8.5 / -400). Cleveland has shown that they are a much better team than last year. Tough defense, decent running game. I’d be very surprised if the Steelers can meet that point spread. CLE – take the points.
Denver (+400) at Kansas City (-10 / -520). Again, a point spread I’m not sure that the favorite can meet. The Chiefs have shown they are a strong team, but the Broncos displayed their own skills last week. Even if it was just the Cardinals that they stomped. I wouldn’t take the moneyline, even at 4 to 1, but I’d take the spread. DEN – take the points.
NY Jets (+280) at Chicago (-7 / -340). Chicago has shown a great talent for letting me down. I think they’ll win, but again, I think it will be close. NYJ – take the points.
Washington (-110) at NY Giants (PK / -110). The Redskins showed some toughness in their win over the Cowboys. Maybe it’s just because I haven’t paid enough attention, but I don’t see the Giants beating them. WAS
Seattle (+135) at Detroit (-3 / -150). I’ve been underestimating the Lions all season. At home against the Seahawks, I’ll stop that. DET – give the points.
Tampa Bay (+170) at Cincinnati (-4 / -200). Tampa isn’t a bad team, but Winston throws a lot of passes to people in the wrong jerseys. Cincinnati is a good enough team to take advantage of that. CIN – give the points.
Baltimore (-2 / -130) at Carolina (+115). Baltimore is a good enough team to beat Carolina. Cam Newton is a good enough QB to be a pain in the ass for the Ravens, but I don’t think he’s quite good enough to get the win. And with a 2 point spread, it’s basically a pick’em game. BAL – give the points.
Indianapolis (-3 / -155) at Oakland (+135). Oakland has lost a lot of close games, but the Colts have a good offense. A really good offense. IND – give the points.
San Francisco (-1 / -110) at Arizona (-110). Ah, the suck bowl. Does anyone care? Meh, ARI – take the point.
Green Bay (+350) at LA Rams (-9 / -450). I think the Rams will probably win, but again, I also think the Packers are a good enough team to cover the spread. I’d feel better about that prediction if the spread was 11 points, though. GB – take the points.
New Orleans (-110) at Minnesota (-1 / -110). The Vikings are a good team, but I don’t know if they’re as good as the Saints. NO – give the point.
New England ( -14 / -1250) at Buffalo (+800). Okay, now that is a point spread. Still, I think the Patriots will make that. NE – give the points.
That’s my Bills!
Their defense is decent, so at least they have something to build on.
And they are going to need to do some building.
Thanks to SP for posting this so soon after I sent it in late again.
Do not fear, I’m the one who gets the cursing.
Hmmm, a Jew suffers for the sins of a goy. Sounds oddly familiar…
Yet appropriate.
Those are some really well-built pyramids, after all.
+1 Pyramids. They did get paid in beer though.
Also, NO vs MIN should have read “take the point”
Sure hope you’re right about the Texans, I’ve got $20 on them to cover the spread.
The Giants v Skins game is going to be interesting in a tire fire kind of way. The Giants are awful, and I mean awful, but Washington’s still trying to get its offense to gel, with decidedly mixed results, and historically the Giants beat the Skins when the former’s playing at home.
The Giants just lost a couple of defenders. Apple wasn’t playing so well, but why did they trade Harrison for a draft pick?
At home against a backup QB, I’d be okay with that.
Of course, I wouldn’t bet any more than 20 or so.
Hope you are right about the Colts.
For this year, I’m marginally better than a coin flip. Huzzah!
Seriously, though, kind of surprised the Colts have the record they do. They seem like a much better team.
I just got off a plane from LA and sitting in the row behind me was Ron “Hellboy” Perlman.
From what I’ve seen of his twitter he’s a raging prog.
Oh, fuck that nutjob. Gary Busey is more normal than him.
And thus why I didn’t speak to him.
I did overhear him talking on the phone about doing a project with Famke Janssen (Jean Grey from the first generation of X-Men movies).
One more – Philly vs. Jacksonville is a London game, they aren’t in Jacksonville.