I think I went 8-5-2 last week, so a little better than previously.
If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/3.
It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks!
Indianapolis at New England (-10.5). The Patriots are probably the better team, but they have been wildly inconsistent this year, which makes the 10.5 point spread seem a bit high to me, even at Foxboro. IND – take the points
Baltimore (-3) at Cleveland. If the spread were a bit higher, I might take the Browns, but I think Ravens can cover 3 points. BAL – give the points
Jacksonville at Kansas City (-3). Two pretty good teams, and the Chiefs very good offense makes for a compelling story going up against the Jaguars defense. While the traditional logic is to take the defense in that scenario, they’re also playing in KC, and the new rules restricting defense make me think the Chiefs have an advantage. KC – give the points
Tennessee (-3) at Buffalo. The Titans are looking like a good team this year, and the Bills are looking… like the Bills. TEN – give the points
NY Giants at Carolina (-7). The only thing I wonder about with this game is whether the Panthers can cover the spread. Based on not very much, I’ll say yes. CAR – give the points
Denver at NY Jets (-1). A fight between two mediocre teams. However, with a one point spread, it’s essentially picking which team will win outright. Basically, who sucks less on the given day. I’ll say the Jets. NYJ – give the point
Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-4). Another fight between two teams unlikely to see the playoffs. I want to pick the Steelers, but I’m really thinking they’re going to win by a FG or less. Ah, screw it. PIT – give the points
Green Bay (-1) at Detroit. Another game that’s essentially a pick ‘em. I hate picking so many away teams, but I’m not picking the Lions. GB – give the point
Miami at Cincinnati (-6). Damn, another game where I want to pick the away team, at least against the spread. I’ll ignore that here. CIN – give the points
Oakland at LA Chargers (-6). I think LA is the better team here, and they’re at home, so this is one of my earlier choices. LA – give the points
Arizona at San Francisco (-5). San Francisco isn’t that great, but Arizona has been terrible this year. SF – give the points
Minnesota at Philadelphia (-3). I think the Eagles will be able to cover a 3 point spread at home against the Vikings. PHI – give the points
LA Rams (-7) at Seattle. The Rams have been a much better team than the Seahawks this year, so this is one away team I don’t mind picking. LAR – give the points
Dallas at Houston (-3). I really don’t know which team to pick in the Texas bowl, so I’ll go with the Texans at home. HOU – give the points
Washington at New Orleans (-6.5). New Orleans has a very good offense, but they’re headed against a Redskins defense that isn’t bad. Meanwhile, the Washington offense isn’t bad, and they’re going up against a Saints defense that’s mediocre. If the spread was a bit higher, I’d probably go with Washington, but I do think NO can cover under a TD. NO – give the points
Comments
46 responses to “BakedPenguin’s NFL Pick-’em – Week 5”
I’m surprised Philadelphia is only a 3-point favorite.
Especially in Philly. That was not a pick I found hard to make.
Serie A past the Premier League in the UEFA coefficient yesterday. Happy?
I’d be happier if we had a media outlet that showed more than one CL game at a time.
And according to this reference, England is still fractionally ahead.
Whither Deutschland… I wonder who’s going inevitably to snag a team away from them. And please let it not be fucking Spain.
I think they changed the allocation of teams such that now the top four leagues all get four teams into the CL.
They recalculated from yesterday it looks like. Either way, Liga is still way ahead. Hopefully that can be narrowed.
Lazio didn’t’ help the cause today.
Crazy how the Eredivise has fallen off.
Ravens DC says that Mayfield is “this generation’s Favre or Elway.”
Gamesmanship, it’s delightful.
Ben Stiller trying to pronounce Favre in Something About Mary was his comic zenith. All downhill after that, unfortunately for him.
I don’t know about that. I liked him as Tug in tropic thunder.
No love for Zoolander?
That, and the Ben Stiller Show was pretty good.
Nah, he’s funny.
I even watched that silly Walter Mitty movie on a flight and enjoyed it.
He’s going to develop a pain killer addiction?
Favre sent unsolicited dick pics, and Elway opened up a Toyota dealership.
I’m not sure which one is worse.
10.5 for the Pats does seem a tad high. Indy is not that bad and Luck can easily put a dent into that.
Colts are banged up. Starting LT is hurt, WR1 will not play, RT is out, other injuries up and down the roster, including places they really can’t afford like CB.
I could see a garbage time TD making it less than 10.5 points. But also NE might be wanting to put another statement game down.
True enough. Plus I think Edelman is playing?
Mind you it’s not like the NE backline is anything to worry too much about either. They seem slow.
I think I’m gonna shut up.
Still got the 2nd half to go, but yeah, not an auspicious start. Sad thing is, Indy could have kept it a lot closer
What’s the over/under for Atl/Pit?
I think it was around 57? The over seems like a good play there.
Yeah 57.5 seems to be the consensus. The one O/U I was looking at was the under for Green Bay @ Detroit. It’s 51, and neither team has shown a real potent offense.
How do you see Chicago doing vs “Bye”?
Actually for once a week off might be a bad thing for the Bears. The defense has been dominating, and last week QB Mitch Cumstein passed for 6 TDs.
You could be right. Last week was easily their best performance, on both sides of the ball..
If my internet is out, I can still come here for the USC score, right ?
Last Week’s…..
Sup Tres!
Hey YUFUS!
I can tell you what the USC score is before the game. And where you got them shoes.
“you know where you got that shirt, and it wasn’t in the men’s department”
-Charlie Murphy
Pancakes!!
+1 shirts vs. blouses
Game…blouses.
Game, Bitches, is the real quote, Bitch!
“Where’d you get those clothes? The Toilet Store?”
-Brick Tamland
My shoes will be up yo’ ass if you don’t move it.
They don’t play this week, but I can make something up if you want.
Buck up, BP….you only missed the Bears game by 6 touchdowns.
*re-narrows gaze*
Yeah, silly me. Chicago beat Seattle by a TD at home, and powerhouse Arizona by the grand total of 2 points. How could I not have picked them to blow out the spread?
You should have known that Trubinsky could throw to wide open receivers when he had plenty of time.
“Tampa Bay” not “Green Bay”
The Pit-Atl game depends on whether the manic or depressive Big Ben shows up. I don’t care how the team does but I do prefer the 50 Pt fantasy weekends to the 14, and in his poor performing games he was either depressed or drunk.
Nobody on twitter is responding to his dick-pics any more.
And THIS just never gets old . Even though I think WLW was issued a C&D order over it.
There is a 60% chance Nate Silver is going to come out with his own fragrance.
Blue wave wishes and Hillary dreams?