I think I went 8-8 last week, but in my defense, I never said I wasn’t terrible at handicapping.
If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 9/26.
It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks:
Minnesota at the LA Rams (-7) The Rams have looked really good every week this year. The Vikings have looked like…. The Vikings (non-early-1970’s). 7 points at home? LAR – give the points.
Miami at New England (-7) I hate to pick against a team that’s come up with a way to win for many years, (and at home, too.) but New England has not been looking good this year. The Dolphins have found a way to win this year. And against a TD spread? MIA – take the points.
Houston at Indianapolis (-1½) The Texans have looked like a team that finds a way to lose – all three games this year. Indy just looks like a bad team, one that’s playing at home. IND – give the points.
Cincinnati at Atlanta (-5½) Atlanta’s not a horrible team, and Cincinnati isn’t a great one, but 5½ points to the Falcons seems a bit much. I’d say the Bengals will at least cover the spread.CIN – take the points.
Buffalo at Green Bay (-10) The Bills are an odd team. Mostly terrible, but can come out to play, as the Vikings saw. And since the Vikings tied the Packers, it would seem like both opponents would be comparable for the Bills. Therefore, I’m going to go with the Packers in this one (I know it makes no sense; that’s the point. Fuck you.) GB – give the points.
Detroit at Dallas (-10) This one is hard for me, as I’d like to see both teams lose. 10 points seems like a lot for the offense starved Cowboys, even against a team with as shoddy a defense as the Lions. DET – take the points.
NY Jets at Jacksonville (7½) The Jags are almost certainly a better team than the Jets; the real question is what the Jets will show – will they be the same team that smashed the Lions, or the one that gave Cleveland its’ first win in a couple years? For that coin flip, I choose not: JAX – give the points.
Tampa Bay at Chicago (-3) Again, I think Tampa is a better team than Chicago, but Chicago is home. Ehh, I’ll give this one to the road warriors. TAM – give the points.
Philadelphia (-4) at Tennessee. The Eagles are tough, but so are the Titans. And the Titans are at home. TEN – take the points.
Seattle (-3) at Arizona. Wow, you really have to suck. I mean, you really have to suck when you are a field goal down to Seattle as the favorite. Kinda hate to do this, but I’m going to pick the Cards here. ARI – take the points.
Cleveland at Oakland (-2½). Cleveland’s been playing a lot better this year, but they’re playing in Oakland. However, the spread is low. Yes, I’m actually taking the Browns, minus the points. Watch them win by 1. CLE – give the points.
San Francisco at LA Chargers (-10½) The 49rs suck, but I don’t think they suck more than a TD + FG against the Chargers (who aren’t that great themselves), even in LA. SF – take the points.
New Orleans (-3) at NY Giants. Yeah, the Saints are a better team than the Giants. I’d give them this one. NO – give the points.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-3). Yeah, and the Ravens are a better team than the Steelers, I’d give them this one. BAL – take the points
Kansas City (-5) at Denver. The Chiefs might have it over the Broncos, but a 5 point fav in Denver? They aren’t that good. DEN -take the points.
I’m betting the Redskins won’t lose for once.
Hey, they won the last one. It fits with the usual ‘Skins modus operandi–win just enough to keep hope alive, then dash that hope to pieces–but a win’s a win.
Hey my Skins are 2-1 right now after beating the Packers last week of all teams (funny thing is that the Cheeseheads is my go-to team when the Skins usually throw away another season), so quit ragging on them for having a bye.
I was bitter about this weird, early bye, but apparently everybody’s banged up and needs the rest. Nice to come in fresh against the Saints, but a little worrisome that three games in we’ve got injury issues.
Yeah, I’ve been a ‘Skins fan since back when the big controversy was Sonny vs Billy as starting QB. That the franchise has been a steaming pile of dogshit ever since that guy Snyder bought them has been a constant source of irritation for me (and countless others).
I’ll be taking the missus out to N’Awlins from Florida to see her Saints tilt against Washington on Oct. 8th. Look for me on MNF… I’ll be the one in the throwback Jurgensen jersey.
BTW, if there’s any NOLA Glibs, email me at pjshpip at the gee-mail if you’d like to bend an elbow. I’ll be in town Fri 10/5 thru Tuesday 10/9.
“Cleveland at Oakland (-2½). Cleveland’s been playing a lot better this year, but they’re playing in Oakland. However, the spread is low. Yes, I’m actually taking the Browns, minus the points. Watch them win by 1. CLE – give the points.”
Well, to be honest, all that Cleveland has to do is play the fourth quarter, Oakland will not be showing up for it.
The Cleveland D will eat up the Raiders wOe.
Not until the 4th quarter. The Raiders through 3 games, have never been behind for even one snap through 3 quarters. If Chucky makes the adjustment quick enough, the Raiders are an 8-8 team this year. At this point, they are a total project, with Chucky as the architect. Will probably take 4 years, so I expect them to return to respectability in Las Vegas, not in Oakland.
I think you are underestimating their offense. Their problem is their defense falling apart in the 4th quarter and their real weakness is the secondary.
When they traded Mack they proved that there was absolutely no way they were making a serious run while still in Oakland.
It’s classic Chucky. I was not surprised even in the least bit. While many will see Mack as a future hall of fame player in his prime, and I cannot disagree with that, Chucky sees 10 draft picks. The guy is a team builder, he doesn’t care too much for star players, but instead for filling all the holes and getting a functioning team. And the raiders have a ton of holes, especially on defense. He did the same thing last time in Oakland and built a super bowl contender from an average team not full of stars. He’s sort of like Belichick in that regard. Sure the Patriots had/have Brady, but the guy was a fifth round pick. And yet, they built a dynasty purely on building a team, not a few stars.
He has the ten year contract so he is in no hurry. There will be a bit of pressure this weekend to not let the Browns start their first winning streak in years. Should be interesting.
Maybe the Dems want to keep this going until the Van Dyke trial is over.
Police: Body found in Colerain Township turns out to be discarded sex doll
I’m guessing the doll never made it to the evidence room.
Or they disposed of a hooker and made up some story about a discarded sex doll.
So THAT’S were I left it! Oh, silly me.
*sensible chuckle
“San Francisco at LA Chargers (-10½) The 49rs suck, but I don’t think they suck more than a TD + FG against the Chargers (who aren’t that great themselves), even in LA. SF – take the points.”
Jimmy G tore his ACL last week, it’s CJ Beathard against a great Chargers secondary. I see turnovers coming, and Rivers has quietly been absolutely top notch this year. I usually won’t touch a 10.5 spread in an NFL game, but I could see this one being a 2 TD blowout.
“Tampa Bay at Chicago (-3) Again, I think Tampa is a better team than Chicago, but Chicago is home. Ehh, I’ll give this one to the road warriors. TAM – give the points.”
This is the game Fitzmagic fully reverts to Fitztragic. Bears -3 is easy money for me.
“Cleveland at Oakland (-2½). Cleveland’s been playing a lot better this year, but they’re playing in Oakland. However, the spread is low. Yes, I’m actually taking the Browns, minus the points. Watch them win by 1. CLE – give the points.”
The Baker Browns are not the Tyrod Browns. Love them as a road dog, I think they win outright.
The 49ers are godawful, and as flawed as the Chargers are, I have faith in Rivers, for some reason.
As for Fitzy, I think he’s got at least one more game in him. Also, just when I thought he’d fallen back into his old ways last game, he managed to get it together and come back. If for no other reason than he’s on my fantasy team, I think he’s grown as a quarterback and Tampa Bay is the real deal. I’m taking Tampa, too.
I’m with you on Cleveland. They were right on the edge, and I think Mayfield is the piece that was missing. I’m not saying they’re going to the Superbowl or even the playoffs, but I think they’re on an upswing. The Raiders are emphatically not. I’m planning on betting Cleveland on the moneyline.
*Nods*
I’d take the Chiefs -5 all day. Have you seen that offense?
Nope, I should remind you that I suck.
Their new quarterback is supposedly the bomb. As a Redskins fan I remember RG III. Where is he now?
Anyone who didn’t know RGIII was a hit away from sucking was apparently on the coaching and drafting staff in DC.
Mahomes is not playing the wildcat. Real pro-set QB. I don’t think this is where he gets his let-down game.
Mahomes is not RG3. RG3 was a one read guy who ran it if he didn’t take a godawful sack.
Mahomes and Mayfield are going to be the new Manning and Brady. Book it baby.
And the KC Def always plays well at Denver.
Justin Houston’s best games end up with him picking Bronco QB out of his teeth.
I’d take the Chiefs at a 13 point spread.
regarding handicapping, at least.
Also, remember they’re going to be playing 6000 feet above sea level. The Broncos are used to that; the Chiefs aren’t
They are there every year, though.
I would also add, Patrick Mahomes has got to show he’s human at some point. He’s up against Von Miller this week, so maybe Mahomes plays his first stinker as a starter this week.
Mahomes is excellent, but he’s young. We’ve seen this movie before. The real test is to see how he plays when he’s off his game. Of the last generation of young star QBs, to my mind the only two who passed that test were Wilson and Luck.
I’m with you and I’m a Chiefs fan. The Broncos will be prepared for this one. There’s no way they let the Chiefs win six straight against them and eighteen out of twenty against AFC opponents without a fight.
My guess is Mahomes throws a td and a pick and gets sacked at least three times. The game comes down to whether Hunt and the o-line of the Chiefs can control the clock and keep their defense off the field. I think keep it close but lose.
Broncos 27
Chiefs 24
Damn my fingers.
The AFC games are always competitive, no matter what. Occasionally you get the blowout, but it’s the exception.
I accidentally omitted the West after the AFC. My bad
You’re a Raiders fan, what’s your take on Gruden? From what I’ve heard, he’s a touch archaic in regards to his approach for coaching.
Also, trading Khalil Mack? If that guy stays healthy he just might challenge Urlacher for second best linebacker in Bears history and make the HoF.
I’m lost here.
“Tampa Bay at Chicago (-3) Again, I think Tampa is a better team than Chicago, but Chicago is home. Ehh, I’ll give this one to the road warriors. TAM – give the points.”
*glares balefully*
Sorry, Swiss Servator, Tampa is better. Feel free to abuse if I’m wrong. I don’t think i am.
What happened to having a sense of humor. My wife was laughing her ass off at this.
http://wjla.com/news/nation-world/assistant-principal-at-tennessee-high-placed-on-leave-after-saying-girls-ruin-everything
Isn’t that a known fact?
Humor is picking on people that don’t do left-think.
I get to listen to Joe Buck tonight. Lucky me. Vikes so banged up, not sure if it’s worth watching.
Its always worth watching the Vikings get beat. #PackerNation
My wife plans on hatewatching Kirk Cousins lose his cool and start going into his “Do I throw a pick, get sacked, or check it down for a yard…” cycle when the game starts to get away from him. I think the ‘Skins screwed him, but my wife is a “my team right or wrong” kind of fan.
Huh. That’s how I feel about the Yankees.
Although, the way the Pack is playing, I’m not sure they could beat the Yankees.
It’s the NFL. Who knows what the fuck will happen.
Not having Everson sucks, though
I’ve got fantasy stat-whore/flawed real life qb Cousins starting for my fantasy team so I’ll at least keep it playing quietly in the background.
And I think the Vikings win tonight. They were embarrassed by the Bills and won’t pencil in a win before the first whistle blows. That was a your quintessential wake up call that this is still the NFL.
My sleeper pick is for the Vikes to win.
They need it, and this is almost a trap game for the Rams after the beatdown the Bills gave the Viqueens.
Is “Fuck the NFL” a popular opinion here or should I quietly move along?
Probably not the best on this thread; otherwise no one will GAF…
*quietly moves along*
But it’ll be your fault when I drunkenly bid on gunbroker stuff…
It’s always my fault, Sean, It’s always my fault…
+1 Fumbles
It’s increasing even on the football forum where I hang out. The inconsistent roughing the passer calls are terrible.
I have often found that the inconsistency tends to be people not knowing the new rules or not liking the call.
Yeah, they’re pretty consistent on the new ‘coddling the QB’ rule.
I don’t like the rule, but they’re consistent.
In the Washington game, there was a worse hit on Rodgers (not called) before another textbook tackle from Matthews (flagged).
They’ve put the defensive player in an impossible position. In order to get to a quarterback, you have to get your 250 pounds moving as quickly as possible and then wrap him up with enough force to bring down a guy like Cam Newton or Ben Rothlisberger, both of whom routinely shrug out of tackles to make big plays, but softly enough where he lands like he’s on a cloud. I can understand not allowing targeting the guy’s head or knees, but when you make a textbook tackle that would be fine on any other player and it’s still a penalty, I don’t know what you’re supposed to do.
Who was it who tore his ACL trying to basically pivot in mid-tackle in order to land side-by-side to the quarterback and avoid the penalty? That’s going to happen again and again until they fix this stupid rule.
It’s not quite at the level of Fuck the NBA, but it can get some traction.
I love watching football, but hate the NFL.
I also love hockey but hate the NHL.
I watch NFL Redzone…. Don’t have the patience for the regular commercial riddled shit…
And the NHL sucks just as bad as the NFL.
If you don’t simultaneously hate the sport you love you’re not doing it right.
“Is “Fuck the NFL” a popular opinion here or should I quietly move along?”
I’m a long time fan. And by long time, I mean like 50 years. I was watching football since I was old enough to sit still long enough to see a TV.
That being said, the NFL’s newly found wokeness has made me more or less not give a fuck. They’ve let the left in, so the NFL’s days are numbered, may as well start not giving a fuck now as opposed to later.
3 plus hours to play a one Hour Game full of bad calls, I’ll pass…
/Packer fan once upon a time
Come on, give the officiating teams a little credit. When they fuck up and make a really bad call, they apparently feel bad and a little later, they make an equally fucked up bad call against the other team.
In television news, the premier of South Park dealing with school shootings didn’t suck. Most of the humor came from everyone except for Sharon (Stan’s mom) just ignoring them, and treating them as part of life (when there were shootings at the elementary school every single day). Then there was several cracks on Black Panther, which Cartman hated. Norsemen Season 2 has landed on Netflix, and The Good Place Season 3 starts on NBC. The Good Place is an epic comedy show, with each episode ending in a cliff hanger for the next episode. The first two seasons are on Netflix and are only 13 episodes each. I can’t recommend The Good Place enough, FFS there’s a brick joke about Kierkegaard in an episode!
Never heard of it. The premise reminds me of Dead Like Me and we all know how its network treated that show. I kind of stopped taking my chances on story-arc-y television after that and a couple other burns.
The first season of The Good Place should be on Netflix (it’s in Canada) and on its own it’s an excellent, completed story arc. I went in for the premise and Kristen Bell, but damn, they actually do a reasonable summary of multiple ethical philosophies without being boring (Aristotle, Kant, Utilitarians, vague Objectivism, Existentialism) while still being funny and interesting. Also, Kristen Bell.
Season 2 just got on up here, not sure what it’s about, but it seems to be different from the first, which is good.
I really liked season 1. Season 2 is good as well. I have no idea how they are going to handle season 3.
Pretty well for the first two episodes. From several interviews, they’re planning each season to be a self contained story that will have an arc over a possible 7 seasons. If you have any interest, just start watching it. If you aren’t interested by the end of the first episode, bail. There are some epic spoilers if you start trying to dig too deep.
I loved Dead Like Me.
install flash player? to watch South Park? no……….
I didn’t see any of Ford’s testimony, but did this bitch, who remembers basically nothing, really say this shit?
Science/reality’s leftward bias strikes again
I love Johnsonville cheddar brauts. Why isnt that locked into my hippocampus, and 50% of the time I forget to get them @ Kroger ?
The fuck what? I have no background in science whatsoever and even I know that’s utter bullshit.
I missed all of it. Any of the coverage and the earlier thread here. But I’ll just leave this here.
The GOP had better get their fucking balls functioning and confirm Kavanaugh tomorrow. This is a huge event. If they fail this test, then we as a country are headed for very bad times indeed. For starters you can count on any election of any GOP candidate or any future nominations to be met by a line up of sexual assault accusers, from now on, forever, or as long as elections last, which won’t be long, with the media leading the cheer. The next step will be the loss of due process. We will move from a nation of innocent until proven guilty to a nation of guilty or innocent by identity. We are going to undue hundreds of years in the making of due process of law in a single decade or less. There will be total breakdown of society and violence as no one will feel safe from the mobs and wil behave accordingly.
These people are pure fucking evil and must be stopped, and now.
Why do you hate
childrenwomen?Because they’ve got dangly bits in the wrong places, and no dangly bits where you’d expect them. And they leak from top to bottom.
Real conversation had this evening:
“So, I read the statements of those four witnesses, and they don’t disprove Ford. You said they disproved her story, but they don’t.”
“They all said they don’t remember anything that she’s describing.”
“Right, but that doesn’t mean it didn’t happen.”
“But it does mean the witnesses she is putting forward as reliable can’t corroborate her story.”
“But they aren’t not corroborating it…”
I don’t know if it’s like mass hypnosis, or most people are idiots, or kind of everyone came into this with their own political affiliation and are willing to give a nod and a wink to anything that moves their allegiance forward, or what, but we’ve now entered a period where the fact of a person accusing a nominee for the Supreme Court of something that might have been a misdemeanor at the time, if that, and that would probably have been part of a juvenile record at worst, is treated as evidence of serial rapes and bad behavior as yet to be determined despite the total lack of any corroborating evidence or reliable testimony. And on another level, we’re seeing a sizeable portion of the country attempt to derail the results of an election by any means available.
You’re absolutely right about the trajectory here, I think. This is serious stuff and heading towards a dark place. Even if it starts with whatever Congresscritters have enough integrity to say, “Enough is enough,” and enforce some respect for the rule of law and something like civil discourse at the risk of upsetting the woke hordes, something’s gotta give or else this is going to turn into a total shitshow, and fast.
I don’t see how it’s anything less than an all-out war on men.
I feel a little bad. A classmate asked me to plan check before turn-in tonight, and his model was just a mess. So goofed up I’m not sure how he managed to do it. I told him it would probably be easier to start over, now that we’ve had another couple weeks of instruction, it shouldn’t be too hard to put it back together. He seemed disappointed that I wasn’t going to stick around helping him fix it.
In retrospect, I probably should have. The mistakes he made were unintelligible to me, it probably would have been instructive for us both.
Oh, and… go pack go.
Ugh. What an over rated defence the Vikings are. Heck, team.
I hear the Eagles are in the running to land Bell. Tell you what, they do that and they’re the favourites. Not the Rams.
Did I say the Vikes? The Rams are given too much love. Lol.
Fun game.
Cousins looks like was a good signing. Better than Bradford eh? Talk about a lucky bastard with that $20 million contract.
A lot of people like to complain about a lack of defense in a high-scoring game…this particular game has not been a case of bad defense. A lot of great throws in this one.
That’s true. Great QB play. Good play calling.
Collingwood favorites to win tomorrow night: Collingwood is $1 bet wins you $1.67 whereas $1 with West Coast wins $2.25.
Crazy. I don’t think anyone saw what was coming last week.
Collingwood was 11-1 against ten days ago.
I think the GF starts around 12:30am here… I may actually be able to watch it live.
Old school guys…how do you like those players on opposite teams giving daps after the Shields play?
It doesn’t bother me greatly, but I don’t like it. I don’t believe in dirty play, I like sportsmanship a lot, but c’mon. Save that shit for after the game.
Heck of a game tonight.
If the Giants were playing the Saints in the Superdome, they’d have no chance, but I think they’ll give them a game in Jersey. Saints defense sucks ass and the Giants’ offense started to find itself last week. Barkley and Beckham will be a very dangerous duo.